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Sotherly Hotels Inc. (SOHO)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 revenue was $48.31M, up 3.8% YoY and above S&P Global consensus by ~$0.91M; Hotel EBITDA rose 4.5% YoY while Adjusted FFO fell 12.8% YoY, reflecting higher interest costs and non-GAAP items . Revenue beat: $48.31M vs $47.40M estimate (1 estimate) – small positive surprise. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Management reiterated full‑year 2025 guidance (revenues $183.4–$188.2M; Hotel EBITDA $48.8–$49.6M; Adj. FFO $11.5–$12.3M; RevPAR $119.77–$122.89; Hotel EBITDA margin 26.1%–26.4%), signaling stable outlook despite macro caution .
  • Operating momentum was driven by occupancy gains, especially in urban markets (Philadelphia, Houston, Atlanta); ADR stabilized after sequential declines, supporting flow‑through and margin expansion; storm‑impacted Tampa (Hotel Alba) largely offset by business interruption insurance .
  • Balance sheet: $32.8M cash (incl. $21.3M restricted), $317.6M debt at 5.88% WAC; near‑term maturities in Atlanta and Hollywood likely addressed via CMBS extensions/modifications; potential to tap $20–$30M equity from Savannah/Wilmington to support refinancing .
  • Tactical catalysts: imminent reverse split (target July–August) to cure NASDAQ $1 bid deficiency; execution of PIP renovations ($11.5M Philadelphia; $14.6M Jacksonville) could improve rate capture and asset competitiveness .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • “Overall, we delivered a solid first quarter with results ahead of our internal expectations” as urban markets strengthened; ADR stabilized across top business/group markets .
    • Property outperformance: DoubleTree Philadelphia (+34.3% RevPAR; +38.7% occupancy), Whitehall Houston (+19.4% RevPAR; +20.5% occupancy), Hollywood Beach Resort (+11.9% RevPAR; +11.8% occupancy), Ballast Wilmington (+6.5% RevPAR) .
    • Margin tailwinds: portfolio Hotel EBITDA +9.4% YoY excluding a prior‑year $550K grant; ~100 bps Hotel EBITDA margin improvement; management expects margins to remain stable as wage pressures ease .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Adj. FFO declined 12.8% YoY ($4.52M vs $5.18M) due to higher interest and non‑GAAP adjustments, despite top‑line growth; rate growth remains an industry challenge .
    • Macro caution: weakened consumer sentiment, compressed booking windows; government segment demand pulled back in D.C.; pauses in group lead conversions late March–April .
    • Financing headwinds: tighter underwriting, higher DSCR requirements and lower proceeds for CMBS refinancings (Atlanta, Hollywood) – likely resolved via extensions/mods; preferred dividends remain 11 quarters in arrears (~$21.9M accrued) .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD)$40,699,981 $43,951,508 $48,312,344
Net income per common share – diluted ($)$(0.29) $(0.16) $0.13
Hotel EBITDA ($USD)$8,087,048 $10,667,747 $12,920,801
Adjusted FFO ($USD)$(347,722) $1,954,631 $4,517,131
Adjusted FFO per common share and unit ($)$(0.02) $0.10 $0.22
Composite Occupancy (%)66.3% 64.1% 68.8%
Composite ADR ($)$161.37 $170.10 $188.49
Composite RevPAR ($)$107.02 $108.99 $129.74

Revenue vs Estimates

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD)$42,000,000*$42,800,000*$47,400,000*
Actual Revenue ($USD)$40,699,981 $43,951,508 $48,312,344
Revenue – # of Estimates1*1*1*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Year-over-Year (Q1)

MetricQ1 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD)$46,548,432 $48,312,344
Hotel EBITDA ($USD)$12,360,355 $12,920,801
Adjusted FFO ($USD)$5,178,340 $4,517,131
Net income per common share – diluted ($)$(0.03) $0.13
Composite Occupancy (%)64.9% 68.8%
Composite ADR ($)$190.50 $188.49
Composite RevPAR ($)$123.59 $129.74
Hotel EBITDA margin change (YoY)+0.2%

Selected Property KPIs (Q1 2025 YoY)

PropertyRevPAR YoYOccupancy YoYNotes
DoubleTree Philadelphia Airport+34.3% +38.7% Group business +158% YoY; submarket demand tied to events/air traffic
The Whitehall (Houston)+19.4% +20.5% Group +64% YoY; strong citywide demand
DoubleTree Resort Hollywood Beach+11.9% +11.8% Hotel EBITDA +~37% YoY; group revenue +41%
Hotel Ballast (Wilmington)+6.5% +3.5% RevPAR index 115.3%
Hotel Alba (Tampa)RevPAR $180.57 BI insurance largely making EBITDA whole; operations normalized since Christmas

Non‑GAAP and One‑time items (Q1): Gain on involuntary conversion $3.87M recognized; BI insurance proceeds support reported revenue/EBITDA while headline ADR/RevPAR reflect pre‑insurance operations .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Mar-13-2025)Current Guidance (May-13-2025)Change
Total revenues ($USD)FY 2025$183,388,000–$188,168,000 $183,388,000–$188,168,000 Maintained
Hotel EBITDA ($USD)FY 2025$48,829,000–$49,619,000 $48,829,000–$49,619,000 Maintained
Adjusted FFO ($USD)FY 2025$11,544,000–$12,349,000 $11,544,000–$12,349,000 Maintained
FFO per share and unit ($)FY 2025$0.52–$0.56 $0.52–$0.56 Maintained
Adjusted FFO per share and unit ($)FY 2025$0.57–$0.61 $0.57–$0.61 Maintained
RevPAR ($)FY 2025$119.77–$122.89 $119.77–$122.89 Maintained
Hotel EBITDA margin (%)FY 202526.1%–26.4% 26.1%–26.4% Maintained
CapEx – routine ($USD)CY 2025~$7.2M ~$7.2M Maintained
PIP CapEx (Philadelphia/ Jacksonville) ($USD)CY 2025~$11.6M ~$11.4M Updated (minor)

Dividend‑related: Preferred series cash dividends declared Apr‑29 ($0.50 B; $0.492188 C; $0.515625 D) payable Jun‑16 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 & Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Urban market recoveryStrong occupancy gains in Philadelphia, Houston; stabilization across urban hotels “Most pronounced gains in our urban markets… demand normalized” Improving
ADR/rate dynamicsADR declined YoY; rate softness offset by occupancy ADR held flat YoY; rate stabilization observed Stabilizing
Group/corporate demandGroup pacing +5.7%; solid corporate transient Group strong but late‑Mar/Apr conversion pause; coastal assets healthy Stable to cautious
Government segmentNot highlightedPullback in government demand in D.C. submarket Negative
Hurricane Helene/BI insuranceQ4: BI proceeds expected to make EBITDA whole Alba operating largely normal; BI ~$100–$200K in Q1 making EBITDA ~95% whole Fading impact
Refinancing/CMBS maturitiesPlanned approach; refinancing completed at several assets Atlanta/Hollywood likely extensions/mods; tighter DSCR yields lower proceeds Manageable via extensions
Reverse split/NASDAQ complianceDiscussed timing window to cure <$1 bid Target reverse split in July/August Imminent
PIP renovationsPlanned DoubleTree Philadelphia & Jacksonville 10‑year Hilton agreements; PIP budgets $11.5M (Philly) and $14.6M (JAX) Executing

Management Commentary

  • “We were very pleased with our first quarter results, which came in ahead of expectations… continued occupancy recovery in our urban markets… ADR held flat year‑over‑year… translated into healthy margin performance” – CEO David Folsom .
  • “Hotel EBITDA across our entire portfolio increased 4.5%… excluding a $550,000 COVID‑related grant last year, Hotel EBITDA increased a healthy 9.4%… ~100 bps increase in Hotel EBITDA margins” – COO Scott Kucinski .
  • “We are reiterating our full year guidance for 2025… Total revenue $183.4M–$188.2M… Hotel EBITDA $48.8M–$49.6M… Adjusted FFO $11.5M–$12.3M or $0.57–$0.61 per share” – CFO Anthony Domalski .
  • Macro caution: “Consumer sentiment has weakened… increased price sensitivity and compressed booking windows… government segment… pullback” – CEO .
  • PIP execution: “10‑year franchise [Hilton]… DoubleTree Philadelphia PIP budget $11.5M… Jacksonville reposition to Hotel Bellamy with $14.6M renovation” – COO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Reverse split timing: execution likely in July/August to meet August 11 deadline; legal/documentation work underway .
  • Tampa BI insurance: hotel EBITDA “pretty much made whole” (~95%); BI proceeds ~$100K–$200K in the quarter; Alba RevPAR $180.57, slightly above prior year .
  • Refinancing plan: Atlanta and Hollywood CMBS maturities most likely addressed via 1–2 year extensions/modifications; expect higher rates, tighter underwriting, special servicing fees .
  • Liquidity strategy: potential to refinance Savannah and Wilmington conventionally, extracting $20–$30M cash to support refinancing/extensions elsewhere .
  • Preferred dividends accrual: ~$21.9M accrued; 11 quarters behind; making current payments on preferreds .

Estimates Context

  • Revenue v. consensus: Q1 2025 beat by ~$0.91M (Actual $48.31M vs Estimate $47.40M; 1 estimate); Q4 2024 beat by ~$1.15M; Q3 2024 missed by ~$1.30M. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • EPS consensus: Unavailable via S&P Global for the quarters reviewed; reliance on reported diluted EPS.
  • Implication: Low estimate count (n=1) reduces signal quality; nonetheless, recurring small revenue beats in Q4/Q1 align with occupancy‑driven momentum and BI insurance smoothing effects .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q1 demonstrated occupancy‑led outperformance with ADR stabilization; modest revenue beat and margin improvement support a constructive near‑term view despite Adj. FFO pressure from higher interest costs .
  • Guidance reiteration and healthy booking trends (RevPAR forecast 103%–105% of 2024) underpin 2025 stability; watch for second‑half caution around government demand and group conversion pacing .
  • Near‑term maturities likely addressed via CMBS extensions/mods; management has multiple levers (Savannah/Wilmington equity refi) to buttress liquidity; monitor terms (rates, fees, amortization) and impact on FFO .
  • Asset upgrades (Philadelphia PIP; Jacksonville reposition) are potential catalysts for rate capture and comp‑set outperformance; expect incremental benefits as projects progress through 2026–2027 .
  • Reverse split is a procedural catalyst to cure NASDAQ deficiency; execution (Jul/Aug) reduces listing risk and may broaden investor access .
  • Preferred dividends: current payments continue, but accrued balance remains large; equity holders should factor the capital allocation and refinancing path to reduce leverage over time .
  • Tactical positioning: momentum in urban/group assets and BI insurance tailwinds favor near‑term operations; risk‑watch on macro sensitivity (ADR recovery pace, government segment), refinancing outcomes, and second‑half demand volatility .
Notes:
- All document-based figures and quotes are cited inline.
- S&P Global consensus values marked with * and provided where available; EPS consensus was unavailable.